Some predictions on what might happen.
Calendar in hand i TOTY, will be published today, January 15th. The real novelty of this year that will overturn the Team of the Year announced back in October, it is the extravagant choice that the EA has made. That is to give the possibility to 50 selected people, including partners and influencers, to vote for their TOTY. In this way, the weight of the vote of the 50 chosen will be 60% on the final vote, while the EA will have only 40% of decision-making power to be able to change the choices of the community.
Unlike what happened with Christmas events, Black Friday etc. investing could be a double-edged sword. We explain why. With the release of TOTY, pro-players and many players have decided not to unpack the prizes guaranteed by the last Weekend League. For this reason, starting at 19 today and probably for 7 days, the vast majority of players will open packages almost compulsively to find at least one of the TOTYs. First of all, this will lead to a significant increase in the IF cards relating to the last TOTW, number 17, on the market and consequently the prices will be significantly reduced (about 15/20%). To give you a small example, Ciro Immobile last Thursday touched 200k, now its price is around 130k and after 19 today it should even almost halve.
Investing in IFs, advice:
In my opinion, investing in the players of this Team of the Week is not advisable if you aim to obtain a profit in a short time, precisely because of the great market fluctuation that the publication of TOTYs, with any SBCs (guaranteed if or updates leagues) to balance the drop in prices and so many promotions on the store's packs, it should involve. The advantage of the significant reduction in prices lies precisely in the fact of being able to find at cheaper prices not only the IFs of the TOTW indicated above but also of the past TOTWs. In the first case, the mechanism was explained a little while ago, so ask yourself a price range and try to take some IF, perhaps sniping it. In the second case, or investing in past TOTWs, the reason is simple. Since TOTW 14, due to the many events held between November and December, many players have not been able to sell several IFs. Therefore, they will tend to devalue them for immediate credit. So if you find any IF past at a price close to the scrap threshold or so, buy it. In this way, provided you have a large amount of credits to invest, in the coming weeks, or in my opinion even within a month, you will be able to obtain a good market profit.
Is it worth investing in NIF cards?
Usually before big events it is advisable to invest, a few days before, on cards with overall 82/83/84, but this time it is not a guarantee of gain, at least in the immediate future. The speech is always the same, many packages available and many players who will open them to have a better chance of finding a TOTY, especially if the EA releases the attack trio. This will lead to cards 82/83/84 to have a significant reduction compared to the previous days. So the best time to invest in cards with overall 82/83/84, perhaps even with a higher overall, is during the TOTY. A sort of investment for the future. Of course, invest in different players, don't stock more than 7/8 cards per player. Also take into account nationality, club and league. In this way, in the event that the EA were to release the Ones to Watch, with the relative winter (in February) and subsequently summer SBCs which will therefore guarantee an OTW as a prize or even the same SBC with guaranteed if during the TOTY period. , you will be able to obtain a truly remarkable market profit. The investment is advisable for those who have a large availability of credits and of course a lot of patience as it requires, except for challenges with guaranteed IF, a rather long period of time.
Update on the nif sale of 16/01:
I don't want to trash what was said in the previous paragraph, the written advice is still valid. There were some factors that led me to think. There are two possibilities today. 1- An SBC is issued with guaranteed IF, high probability, 2- there will be no challenge with guaranteed IF, low probability. In both cases it is still possible to invest. Let's consider the possible release of the SBC with guaranteed IF. In this case, the advice is to invest, by 19pm, on players with overall 83, spending between 1400 and 1700 credits and, if you have a greater amount of credits, on players with overall 84, spending between 3500 and 4000. credits. Especially with the 83, the gain could more than double. Unfortunately, the risk is still around the corner, if the EA inexplicably does not release SBC with guaranteed IF, the loss, if you follow the indicated price ranges, will be minimal. If the challenge were to be released instead as rumored, you would really hit the big time.
Let's analyze point 2 instead. If no guaranteed SBC challenge is released tonight, you could still invest on nif with overall 83 and earn immediately. I don't think there will be the hype seen yesterday evening (with over 8 million active transfers on the market for those who play on PS4), but maybe, after 19pm and especially around 20pm, when the most expensive packs will be released in the store, if you manage to buy some 83 to 800 players / 1000 credits, tomorrow you could sell them on the market for about 1700/1800 credits. It won't be much of a profit but it will always be better than nothing. Obviously, the same goes for the 84 too, although there is a minor tendency to sell them off even in such heated events as the release of the TOTYs.
NB What is written is the result of personal interpretations and past experience. The best way to do business is to always keep an eye on the market. If you see a large amount of players for sale, immediately sniper 83 players (84 if you have a greater amount of credits) at the lowest price you can find and try to sell them right away, perhaps differentiating the prices of the players you have by some k. .
Also, don't underestimate it Sniping, as as already fully explained in our guide, FIFA 18, tips and tricks on the FUT- Ultimate Team mode, several players do not check with the Compare Now the prices of the players obtained from the packs and you could make some really important deals. Should you use FIFA Points and try your luck? Yes and no, as the chances of finding a TOTY are very low. If you really have money to spend, we are talking about hundreds and hundreds of euros and you want to try it, do it when the EA will make the entire team available in the store packages.
Update at 23pm on 15/01:
There hasn't been a real crash in the market, the prices are a bit fluctuating. There have been small drops, of a few thousand credits, for example Ibrahimovic, it was easily at 27k, now it's back to 35K and in some cases, you see Dybala, its price has increased by 4 / 5k. What to do? Sniperate, because it is the only effective way to get the best players. De Bruyne and Kantè, for example, are able to get around 10 / 15k less than the Buy It Now market price. This is the best time to build a competitive team. Unfortunately, sniping largely depends on the speed of your connection and how quickly you hit the controller keys.
Team of the Year voted by the community
A few hours after the official TOTY, we have more than one certainty about which revelation players will be part of the team.
Let's throw in the basket, those who have won trophies, those who have distinguished themselves last year for their performances but we adopt a simple parameter as a "new parameter". How many of the 55 eligible candidates are used the most by pro-players and the FIFA 18 community? Here, this is the question that makes us understand everything. You will not go to vote who deserves, but who with their statistics and overall overall can be used in FUT.
Buffon, selected in October in the Best Team of the Year, will probably not be part of TOTY. Blasphemy? No, De Gea will take its place, as it is widely used by many players. In fact, it has received many votes, 31/50 and the EA, will be able to do very little to change the result. We do not want to take anything away from De Gea, he is an extraordinary goalkeeper and will certainly have great room for improvement, but not seeing Buffon as the best goalkeeper after winning the Scudetto, the Italian Cup and having reached the Champion's League final again, makes us really strange.
In defense, Sergio Ramos 38 / 50 e Marcelo 32/50 and probably Leonardo Bonucci with about 21/50. Surprisingly, the last name is that of Antonio Valencia, TD widely used in every BPL for its monstrous statistics. There is no certainty, as Valencia had 12/50, the stainless Dani Alves 10/50 and César Azpilicueta 10/50. Then the EA will have the possibility to decide which of the three candidates will occupy the last place of the defensive quartet.
Let's move on to the midfield, what to say, there will probably be an epochal change. The usual name is that of Luka Modric 29/50, fantastic player of Real Madrid to which two new entries are added: Kevin de bruyne of Manchester City 35/50 e N'Golo Kantè of Chelsea 28/50. Two players casually once again belonging to the Premier League and who actually take the place from very titular players to two fundamental players for their respective teams, Toni Kroos and Andrés Iniesta. De Bruyne would not deserve such recognition, as last year he did not do who knows what, Kantè instead, having won the Premier League with Chelsea and the year before with Leicester, is a name that can also be there, but frankly not seeing the name of Kroos, after he won yet another Champion's League of his career, leaves us perplexed.
Finally, we close with the attack trio. Inevitable Cristiano Ronaldo 37 / 50 e Lionel Messi 39/50 and hear, hear, the Player of the Month, Harry Kane, wins the last place with 24/50, to the detriment of Neymar who gets a measly 11/50. The distance between the two in terms of votes is considerable but EA could do something precisely because Kane has recently obtained his second recognition as POTM of the Premier League.
Upgrade 15 / 01
There are no more doubts, Harry Kane officially joins the Team of the Year, together with Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi. From 19 pm tonight, for 24 hours, it will be possible to find the attack trio in the packages.
Cristiano Ronaldo, Lionel Messi and Harry Kane are the #FUT 18 #TOTY Attackers! Available today for 24hrs from 6pm UK. ? pic.twitter.com/O3xMtb7p1s
- EA SPORTS FIFA #stayandplay (@EASPORTSFIFA) January 15, 2018
Upgrade 16 / 01
Modric, De Bruyne e Kantè are the 3 midfielders of the Team of the Year. They will be available in packages starting at 19pm tonight.
#TOTY Kante, Modric and De Bruyne will be available for 24 hours, starting at 6pm UK! TOTY attackers are out of packs from 6pm UK. https://t.co/8UiqFseWOa pic.twitter.com/LxO1or1JgQ
- EA SPORTS FIFA #stayandplay (@EASPORTSFIFA) January 16, 2018
Upgrade 17 / 01
De Gea, Sergio Ramos, Leonardo Bonucci, Marcelo and Dani Alves, the latter having won the ballot with Valencia, officially join the team of the year. They will be available in packages starting at 19.
#TOTY De Gea, Marcelo, Sergio Ramos, Bonucci and Dani Alves will be available for 48 hours, starting at 6pm UK! TOTY Midfielders will be out of packs from 6pm UK. pic.twitter.com/TycEsEjZRK
- EA SPORTS FIFA #stayandplay (@EASPORTSFIFA) January 17, 2018